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How will different politics affect the energy system? An energy political analysis of the political parties in Norway.

Osnes, Jørgen
Master thesis
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Master_Thesis_TEK5930.pdf (11.33Mb)
Year
2021
Permanent link
http://urn.nb.no/URN:NBN:no-91053

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  • Institutt for teknologisystemer [131]
Abstract
Abstract A governmental election will be held in the fall of 2021 in Norway. The interest in energy and energy politics has been increasing and will be an essential topic for this election. However, the political parties have a wide range of politics regarding energy, renewable energy, pollution, and the environment. The political statements include several forms of energy production, usage, limitations, demands, and incentives. The politics are often vague and may not give a clear and consistent answer to what the political parties will do. Moreover, with a wide range of politics and nine political parties, it can be challenging for the public audience to interpret and understand the politics. Using the IFE-TIMES-Norway model, this thesis will translate and process the pollical data, then present key findings clearly and understandably. The model uses political data on energy production, transmission, export of energy, and end- use demand to simulate how the politics will affect the Norwegian energy system. The data allows predicting how politics will affect the growth in the energy system, the changes in the energy mix. The results also show and compare the type of electricity production used in the future energy system. Comparing different political parties with different politics on production, demand, and import and export of electricity give some trends regarding the electricity price. Norway also has clear goals of reducing CO2 emission by 50% in 2030 and carbon neutrality in 2050. However, some results may indicate that the political parties do not do enough to reach the goals of CO2 reduction. Despite the different politics, the modeling results show that the difference between the political party and their energy politics may not have the impact that was believed.
 
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